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VENDSYSSEL FF vs AC HORSENS SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Vendsyssel Ff vs Ac Horsens sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Denmark, 1st Division match on 19-Aug-2021

Vendsyssel Ff

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DATE:

19 August 2021 at 19:00:00

Ac Horsens

COUNTRY:

Denmark

LEAGUE

1st Division

TIME:

7:00 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

15%

AVR. ODDS:

3.23

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

33%

AVR. ODDS:

3.48

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

52%

AVR. ODDS:

2.12

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Vendsyssel Ff vs Ac Horsens match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 63.20% probability for a Away Win outcome.


See tickets:

GG/NG tips

Correct score tips

Fixed matches

1X2 sure bet predictions


The ELO Ratings model came through with a 51.53% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 42.44% chance for a away win outcome. This Vendsyssel Ff vs Ac Horsens match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. 



To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.12 with an implied bookmaker probability of 47.17%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Vendsyssel Ff vs Ac Horsens match is 52.39%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 5.22%Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Vendsyssel Ff vs Ac Horsens match is calculated as follows: Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. 



Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Away Win) * 100* 2.12 where 2.12 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Vendsyssel Ff vs Ac Horsens, EV(Away Win) to be 52.39% * 100 * 2.12, which translates to 63.46. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.Ac Horsens is expected to outperform Vendsyssel Ff in this match. Home advantage may not help Vendsyssel Ff in this game. With odds of 2.12 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. 



This is the best sure bet prediction for this match. Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this.

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VENDSYSSEL FF vs AC HORSENS SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

23%

AVR. ODDS:

1.77

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

77%

1.95

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.25

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

54%

AVR. ODDS:

3.27

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

22%

AVR. ODDS:

1.91

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

78%

1.8

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

9%

AVR. ODDS:

3.35

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

91%

AVR. ODDS:

1.34

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

VENDSYSSEL FF VS AC HORSENS LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Horsens and Vendsyssel have met 6 times recently since 06-Apr-2017. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Horsens vs Vendsyssel prediction.
19/05/19 - Horsens [1 : 1] Vendsyssel
05-Dec-2019 - Vendsyssel [0 : 1] Horsens
17/02/19 - Horsens [3 : 0] Vendsyssel
21/10/18 - Vendsyssel [0 : 1] Horsens
07-Mar-2018 - Horsens [1 : 4] Vendsyssel
06-Apr-2017 - Vendsyssel [1 : 3] Horsens

VENDSYSSEL FF LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Vendsyssel Ff's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Helsingoer won against Vendsyssel (3-1) on 13/08/21
Then Vendsyssel drew with Nykoebing (1-1) on 08-Aug-2021
Strandby-Elling-Nielstrup IF lost to Vendsyssel (1-6) on 08-May-2021
Not surprisingly Hobro drew with Vendsyssel (1-1) on 30/07/21
Esbjerg drew with Vendsyssel (1-1) on 25/07/21
Vendsyssel won against Fremad Amager (2-1) on 27/05/21
Then Hobro lost to Vendsyssel (0-2) on 23/05/21
Hvidovre drew with Vendsyssel (2-2) on 15/05/21
Vendsyssel won against Kolding IF (3-0) on 05-Nov-2021
In the earliest match listed here Skive won against Vendsyssel (2-1) on 05-Jun-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Ac Horsens's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Esbjerg drew with Horsens (0-0) on 13/08/21
Horsens lost to Helsingoer (0-1) on 08-Jun-2021
Then Saedding/Guldager lost to Horsens (1-4) on 08-Mar-2021
Fremad Amager lost to Horsens (1-4) on 31/07/21
Horsens lost to HB Koege (0-2) on 23/07/21
Then Horsens won against Kolding IF (2-0) on 07-Oct-2021
Horsens drew with Silkeborg (0-0) on 07-Feb-2021
Horsens drew with Randers (1-1) on 26/06/21
Once more Odense won against Horsens (4-0) on 24/05/21
Horsens lost to Sonderjyske (1-2) on 20/05/21

VENDSYSSEL FF'S POSITION

Vendsyssel is in position 9 with 3 points from 4 matches. They are below Jammerbugt who have 4 points and above Hobro who have 2 points.
have scored 4 goals and conceded 6 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -2 goals this season.

AC HORSENS'S POSITION

Horsens is in position 6 with 4 points from 4 matches. They are below Nykoebing who have 5 points and above HB Koege who have 4 points.
Ac Horsens have scored 4 goals and conceded 4 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 0 goals this season.

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