BRIGHTON vs SWANSEA GG SUREBET PREDICTION
A detailed Brighton vs Swansea GG sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this England, EFL Cupmatch on 22-Sep-2021
Brighton
DATE:
22 September 2021 at 21:30:00
Swansea
COUNTRY:
England
LEAGUE
EFL Cup
TIME:
9:30 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
53%
AVR. ODDS:
1.57
VALUEBET?
No
DRAW:
23%
AVR. ODDS:
3.86
VALUEBET?
No
AWAY WIN:
23%
AVR. ODDS:
6.02
VALUEBET?
Yes
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
The odds for Gg outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 2.17 with an implied bookmaker probability of 46.08%. Considering that the surebet probability for the GG outcome for this Brighton vs Swansea match is 53.72%, then this bet is a value bet.
If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 7.64%The expected value for a GG prediction is denoted as EV(GG) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a GG in this Brighton vs Swansea match is 70.29 which is positive and therefore a good bet.
All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible gg in this Brighton vs Swansea match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 52.73% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 54.08% chance for the same. Finally, 54.35% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in gg.
This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a gg in this game. Given historical data, head to head matches and results from similar past matches, Surebet prediction systems and expert opinion have all converged on the conclusion that both teams will be able to score in this match, therefore validating a GG prediction (BTTS).
Both Brighton and Swansea have good strikers and have equally vulnerable defenses. It is quite unlikely that any of them will fail to score in this game.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
54%
AVR. ODDS:
2.17
VALUEBET?
Yes
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
46%
1.61
VALUEBET?
No
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.37
VALUEBET?
Yes
UNDER 1.5:
23%
AVR. ODDS:
3.02
VALUEBET?
No
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
53%
AVR. ODDS:
2.1
VALUEBET?
Yes
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
46%
1.66
No
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
31%
AVR. ODDS:
3.68
VALUEBET?
Yes
UNDER 3.5:
69%
AVR. ODDS:
1.24
VALUEBET?
No
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
BRIGHTON VS SWANSEA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Brighton and Swansea have met 6 times recently since 29/09/07. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Brighton vs Swansea prediction.
24/02/18 - Brighton [4 : 1] Swansea
11-Apr-2017 - Swansea [0 : 1] Brighton
08-Nov-2009 - Swansea [3 : 0] Brighton
05-Mar-2008 - Brighton [0 : 1] Swansea
01-Aug-2008 - Swansea [1 : 0] Brighton
29/09/07 - Swansea [0 : 0] Brighton
BRIGHTON LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Brighton's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Brighton won against Leicester (2-1) on 19/09/21
Then Brentford lost to Brighton (0-1) on 09-Nov-2021
Brighton lost to Everton (0-2) on 28/08/21
Not surprisingly Cardiff lost to Brighton (0-2) on 24/08/21
Brighton won against Watford (2-0) on 21/08/21
Burnley lost to Brighton (1-2) on 14/08/21
Then Brighton lost to Getafe (0-2) on 08-Jul-2021
Rangers drew with Brighton (0-0) on 24/07/21
Arsenal won against Brighton (2-0) on 23/05/21
In the earliest match listed here Brighton won against Man City (3-2) on 18/05/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Swansea's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Luton drew with Swansea (3-3) on 18/09/21
Swansea drew with Millwall (0-0) on 15/09/21
Then Swansea drew with Hull (0-0) on 09-Nov-2021
Preston won against Swansea (3-1) on 28/08/21
Swansea won against Plymouth (4-1) on 24/08/21
Then Bristol City lost to Swansea (0-1) on 20/08/21
Swansea lost to Stoke (1-3) on 17/08/21
Swansea drew with Sheffield (0-0) on 14/08/21
Once more Reading lost to Swansea (0-3) on 08-Oct-2021
Blackburn won against Swansea (2-1) on 08-Jul-2021
BRIGHTON'S POSITION
Currently no position listed
SWANSEA'S POSITION
Currently no position listed
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