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GG TIPS
Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Fbc Melgar and Universitario have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Fbc Melgar vs Universitario match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 57.66% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 60.39% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 62.29% chance for a gg outcome.
This Fbc Melgar vs Universitario match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.

To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.88 with an implied bookmaker probability of 53.19%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Fbc Melgar vs Universitario match is 60.11%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 6.92%.
Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Fbc Melgar vs Universitario match is calculated as follows:
Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(GG) * 100* 1.88 where 1.88 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Fbc Melgar vs Universitario, EV(GG) to be 60.11% * 100 * 1.88, which translates to 73.12. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
NG TIPS




OVER 1.5 TIPS
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Fbc Melgar vs Universitario. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Fbc Melgar vs Universitario match.

The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 78.15% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 80.06% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 81.74% chance for a over 1.5 outcome.

This Fbc Melgar vs Universitario match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.

To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.37333333333333 with an implied bookmaker probability of 72.82%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Fbc Melgar vs Universitario match is 79.98%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 7.17%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Fbc Melgar vs Universitario match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.37333333333333 where 1.37333333333333 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Fbc Melgar vs Universitario, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 79.98% * 100 * 1.37, which translates to 89.82. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.