Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 prediction
Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 prediction. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 are playing on 06-Dec-21
Fk Arda Kurdzhali
DATE:
5 December 2021 at 17:45:00
Carsko Selo 2015
1X2 PREDICTION
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Carsko Selo 2015 is expected to outperform Fk Arda Kurdzhali in this match. Home advantage may not help Fk Arda Kurdzhali in this game. With odds of 2.79 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match.
Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 40.99% probability for a Away Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 49.69% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 59.01% chance for a away win outcome.
This Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.79 with an implied bookmaker probability of 35.84%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match is 49.90%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 14.06%Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Away Win) * 100* 2.79 where 2.79 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015, EV(Away Win) to be 49.90% * 100 * 2.79, which translates to 89.11. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Fk Arda Kurdzhali and Carsko Selo 2015 will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Fk Arda Kurdzhali and Carsko Selo 2015 have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 51.45% probability for a NG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 56.83% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 64.90% chance for a ng outcome.
This Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.617 with an implied bookmaker probability of 61.84%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match is 57.73%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -4.12%Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match is calculated as follows:
Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(NG) * 100* 1.617 where 1.617 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015, EV(NG) to be 57.73% * 100 * 1.61, which translates to 51.07. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 69.03% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 65.59% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 61.83% chance for a over 1.5 outcome.
This Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.66 with an implied bookmaker probability of 60.24%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match is 65.48%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 5.24%Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.66 where 1.66 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 65.48% * 100 * 1.66, which translates to 74.18. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
FK ARDA KURDZHALI VS CARSKO SELO 2015 PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
08-Aug-2021 - Kolubara [3 : 1] Cukaricki
06-Jan-2013 - Cukaricki [2 : 1] Kolubara
24/11/12 - Kolubara [0 : 2] Cukaricki
22/04/12 - Kolubara [1 : 3] Cukaricki
10-Jan-2011 - Cukaricki [0 : 3] Kolubara
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]
FK ARDA KURDZHALI'S LAST 10 MATCHES
CUKARICKI ST LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Cukaricki St's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Metalac lost to Cukaricki (0-3) on 27/11/21
Then Cukaricki drew with Novi Pazar (1-1) on 22/11/21
Novi Pazar drew with Cukaricki (2-2) on 18/11/21
Not surprisingly Vozdovac Belgrade drew with Cukaricki (1-1) on 11-May-2021
Partizan Belgrade won against Cukaricki (2-0) on 31/10/21
Loznica won against Cukaricki (1-0) on 27/10/21
Then Cukaricki won against Proleter (6-1) on 22/10/21
Cukaricki drew with Vojvodina Novi Sad (1-1) on 16/10/21
TSC Backa Topola lost to Cukaricki (1-2) on 10-Feb-2021
In the earliest match listed here Cukaricki drew with Radnik (1-1) on 27/09/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
CUKARICKI ST LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Cukaricki St's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
TSC Backa Topola won against Kolubara (2-1) on 12-Jan-2021
Then Kolubara won against TSC Backa Topola (2-1) on 28/11/21
Radnik drew with Kolubara (1-1) on 20/11/21
Not surprisingly Kolubara won against Napredak (1-0) on 11-Jun-2021
Kolubara lost to Spartak (1-2) on 11-Feb-2021
Mladost Lucani lost to Kolubara (2-3) on 27/10/21
Then Mladost Lucani won against Kolubara (3-1) on 23/10/21
Kolubara lost to Crvena Zvezda (1-7) on 16/10/21
Radnicki Kragujevac lost to Kolubara (0-2) on 10-Jan-2021
In the earliest match listed here Kolubara lost to Radnicki Nis (2-3) on 25/09/21
FK ARDA KURDZHALI POSITION
CUKARICKI ST'S POSITION
Cukaricki is in position 3 with 31 points from 18 matches. They are below Crvena Zvezda who have 47 points and above Vojvodina Novi Sad who have 29 points.
Cukaricki St have scored 30 goals and conceded 19 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 11 goals this season.
CARSKO SELO 2015 POSITION
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