Union Comercio vs Alianza Atletico Prediction
Union Comercio vs Alianza Atletico Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Union Comercio vs Alianza Atletico are playing on 19-Sep-24.
Union Comercio
Alianza Atletico
DATE:
TIME:
21:00�
COUNTRY:
Peru
LEAGUE
Primera Division, Clausura
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
0.520
AVR. ODDS:
3
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
0.266
AVR. ODDS:
3.05
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
0.212
AVR. ODDS:
2.16
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
HOME WIN TIPS
After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Union Comercio vs Alianza Atletico match, we are well convinced that Union Comercio is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Alianza Atletico. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win.
Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.
To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 3 with an implied bookmaker probability of 33.33%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Union Comercio vs Alianza Atletico match is 51.96%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 18.62%..
Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Union Comercio vs Alianza Atletico match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Home Win) * 100* 3 where 3 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Union Comercio vs Alianza Atletico, EV(Home Win) to be 51.96% * 100 * 3, which translates to 107.83. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
0.432
AVR. ODDS:
1.87
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
0.566
AVR. ODDS:
1.8
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.41
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
0.340
AVR. ODDS:
3.84
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
0.425
AVR. ODDS:
2.11
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
0.573
AVR. ODDS:
1.63
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
0.242
AVR. ODDS:
3.7
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
0.756
AVR. ODDS:
1.22
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
UNION COMERCIO VS ALIANZA ATLETICO PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Alianza Atletico [2:0] Comercio
Alianza Atletico [2:2] Comercio
Comercio [3:3] Alianza Atletico
Comercio [1:1] Alianza Atletico
Comercio [1:2] Alianza Atletico
Alianza Atletico [1:3] Comercio
Alianza Atletico [1:2] Comercio
Comercio [5:0] Alianza Atletico
Comercio [2:2] Alianza Atletico
Alianza Atletico [4:1] Comercio
UNION COMERCIO'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Comercio's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
U. Cesar Vallejo - Comercio [1:0]
Comercio - Atletico Grau [1:2]
Comercio - Cusco [3:3]
Deportivo Garcilaso - Comercio [3:1]
Comercio - Huancayo [0:1]
Cajamarca - Comercio [3:1]
Comercio - Melgar [2:1]
Alianza Lima - Comercio [1:0]
Mannucci - Comercio [0:0]
Comercio - Los Chankas CYC [1:2]
Comercio - Cienciano [1:1]
Sporting Cristal - Comercio [5:1]
Comercio - Asociacion Deportiva Tarma [2:2]
Comerciantes U. - Comercio [3:1]
Sport Boys - Comercio [0:0]
Comercio - Universitario [1:2]
Alianza Atletico - Comercio [2:0]
Comercio - U. Cesar Vallejo [2:2]
Cusco - Comercio [1:0]
Comercio - Deportivo Garcilaso [0:4]
Huancayo - Comercio [2:2]
Comercio - Cajamarca [2:0]
Melgar - Comercio [2:1]
Comercio - Alianza Lima [1:3]
Atletico Grau - Comercio [1:0]
Comercio - Mannucci [2:2]
Los Chankas CYC - Comercio [2:1]
Atletico Grau - Comercio [0:1]
Comercio - Deportivo Garcilaso [1:2]
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma - Comercio [3:0]
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Alianza Atletico's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Alianza Atletico - Universitario [0:3]
Alianza Atletico - Sport Boys [2:0]
U. Cesar Vallejo - Alianza Atletico [0:0]
Alianza Atletico - Cusco [1:1]
Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Atletico [0:1]
Alianza Atletico - Huancayo [1:1]
Cajamarca - Alianza Atletico [1:1]
Alianza Atletico - Melgar [3:1]
Alianza Lima - Alianza Atletico [2:0]
Alianza Atletico - Atletico Grau [0:0]
Alianza Atletico - Mannucci [0:0]
Los Chankas CYC - Alianza Atletico [2:0]
Alianza Atletico - Cienciano [0:1]
Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atletico [2:1]
Alianza Atletico - Asociacion Deportiva Tarma [1:2]
Comerciantes U. - Alianza Atletico [0:0]
Alianza Atletico - Comercio [2:0]
Universitario - Alianza Atletico [1:0]
Sport Boys - Alianza Atletico [0:0]
Alianza Atletico - U. Cesar Vallejo [1:1]
Cusco - Alianza Atletico [2:0]
Alianza Atletico - Deportivo Garcilaso [3:0]
Huancayo - Alianza Atletico [4:0]
Alianza Atletico - Cajamarca [2:0]
Melgar - Alianza Atletico [1:0]
Alianza Atletico - Alianza Lima [0:2]
Atletico Grau - Alianza Atletico [1:1]
Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atletico [3:0]
Alianza Atletico - Deportivo Municipal [1:2]
Atletico Grau - Alianza Atletico [1:1]
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