US QUEVILLY ROUEN vs BASTIA SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Us Quevilly Rouen vs Bastia sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this France, Ligue 2 match on 18-Aug-2021
Us Quevilly Rouen
DATE:
18 August 2021 at 20:00:00
Bastia
COUNTRY:
France
LEAGUE
Ligue 2
TIME:
8:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
39%
AVR. ODDS:
2.82
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
30%
AVR. ODDS:
3.22
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
31%
AVR. ODDS:
2.57
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Us Quevilly Rouen vs Bastia match, we are well convinced that Us Quevilly Rouen is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Bastia.
The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Us Quevilly Rouen vs Bastia match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 34.57% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 39.16% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 43.67% chance for a home win outcome. This Us Quevilly Rouen vs Bastia match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.
The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.82 with an implied bookmaker probability of 35.46%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Us Quevilly Rouen vs Bastia match is 39.13%, meaning this bet is a value bet.
In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 3.67%Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Us Quevilly Rouen vs Bastia match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 2.82 where 2.82 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Us Quevilly Rouen vs Bastia, EV(Home Win) to be 39.13% * 100 * 2.82, which translates to 49.48. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
41%
AVR. ODDS:
1.84
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
59%
1.87
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.37
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
38%
AVR. ODDS:
3.02
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
35%
AVR. ODDS:
2.1
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
65%
1.66
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
16%
AVR. ODDS:
3.68
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
84%
AVR. ODDS:
1.24
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
US QUEVILLY ROUEN VS BASTIA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Curently no head to head
US QUEVILLY ROUEN LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Us Quevilly Rouen's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Quevilly-Rouen won against Dijon (2-1) on 14/08/21
Then Amiens lost to Quevilly-Rouen (1-3) on 08-Jul-2021
Dunkerque drew with Quevilly-Rouen (1-1) on 24/07/21
Not surprisingly Paris won against Quevilly-Rouen (3-0) on 07-Oct-2021
Quevilly-Rouen lost to Le Havre (0-1) on 07-Jul-2021
Quevilly-Rouen lost to Le Havre (0-1) on 07-Jul-2021
Then Boulogne won against Quevilly-Rouen (1-0) on 15/05/21
Quevilly-Rouen lost to Bastia (0-1) on 05-Oct-2021
Red Star drew with Quevilly-Rouen (0-0) on 05-Mar-2021
In the earliest match listed here FC Bastia Borgo drew with Quevilly-Rouen (1-1) on 23/04/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Bastia's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Toulouse won against Bastia (1-0) on 14/08/21
Bastia drew with Nancy-Lorraine (1-1) on 08-Nov-2021
Then Bastia drew with Nimes (1-1) on 24/07/21
Nice lost to Bastia (0-1) on 16/07/21
Annecy lost to Bastia (2-3) on 07-Sep-2021
Then Bastia won against FC Bastia Borgo (1-0) on 07-Apr-2021
Bastia won against Red Star (3-1) on 15/05/21
Quevilly-Rouen lost to Bastia (0-1) on 05-Oct-2021
Once more Choletais lost to Bastia (1-4) on 05-Apr-2021
Bastia lost to Annecy (0-1) on 30/04/21
US QUEVILLY ROUEN'S POSITION
Quevilly-Rouen is in position 6 with 7 points from 3 matches. They are below Nimes who have 8 points and above Niort who have 7 points.
have scored 6 goals and conceded 3 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 3 goals this season.
BASTIA'S POSITION
Bastia is in position 16 with 2 points from 3 matches. They are below Amiens who have 3 points and above Dunkerque who have 1 points.
Bastia have scored 2 goals and conceded 3 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -1 goals this season.
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